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Arphra AIPlain-English read on O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.’s valuationRatios & metrics
Profitability, returns on capital, growth, and credit — all derived from the historical income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow rows in our data warehouse.
Valuation multiples
Price- and EV-based multiples plus shareholder yields. Snapshot at each fiscal year-end from key_metrics (FMP).
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline | |||||||||
| Market cap | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enterprise value | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Multiples | |||||||||
| P / E | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P / B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / FCF | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yields | |||||||||
| Earnings yield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow yield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Profitability
Margin structure across the last 5 fiscal years
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margins | |||||||||
| Gross margin | +52.67% | +51.23% | +51.26% | +51.20% | +51.59% | +51.80% | +51.01% | +51.41% | +51.30% |
| Operating margin | +21.98% | +20.56% | +20.17% | +19.46% | +19.46% | +19.73% | +19.61% | +19.29% | +20.18% |
| EBITDA margin | +24.42% | +23.00% | +22.87% | +22.32% | +22.42% | +23.00% | +22.46% | +22.51% | +22.80% |
| EBIT margin | +21.96% | +20.52% | +20.28% | +19.56% | +19.54% | +20.16% | +19.96% | +20.08% | +19.59% |
| Pre-tax margin | +20.87% | +19.42% | +19.00% | +18.22% | +18.22% | +18.73% | +18.84% | +18.42% | +18.58% |
| Net margin | +16.24% | +15.08% | +14.84% | +14.28% | +14.27% | +14.61% | +14.83% | +14.50% | +14.43% |
| Cost structure | |||||||||
| Cost of revenue / sales | +47.33% | +48.77% | +48.74% | +48.80% | +48.41% | +49.62% | +47.92% | +49.43% | +49.45% |
| R&D intensity | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| SG&A intensity | +30.78% | +30.72% | +31.11% | +31.74% | +32.13% | +32.39% | +31.56% | +30.89% | +31.64% |
| Effective tax rate | +22.19% | +22.37% | +21.90% | +21.62% | +21.66% | +21.53% | +21.58% | +21.76% | +21.58% |
Returns on capital
ROE / ROA / ROC / ROIC over the relevant capital base, plus the 3-step DuPont decomposition of ROE.
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| Return on equity (ROE) | -3258.94% | -204.82% | -134.92% | -174.09% | -332.51% | -182.07% | -187.32% | -184.95% | -184.45% |
| Return on assets (ROA) | +18.47% | +17.21% | +16.91% | +16.02% | +15.35% | +16.00% | +16.21% | +16.51% | +16.05% |
| Return on capital (ROC) | +50.51% | +54.01% | +52.26% | +49.64% | +44.78% | +47.76% | +49.80% | +47.93% | +49.86% |
| Return on invested capital (ROIC) | +37.32% | +39.62% | +38.46% | +36.44% | +32.84% | +35.36% | +37.67% | +36.03% | +35.65% |
| Asset turnover | +113.73% | +114.11% | +113.98% | +112.18% | +107.52% | +109.51% | +109.25% | +113.85% | +111.18% |
| DuPont · ROE decomposition | |||||||||
| Net margin | +16.24% | +15.08% | +14.84% | +14.28% | +14.27% | +14.61% | +14.83% | +14.50% | +14.43% |
| Asset turnover (× revenue / assets) | +113.73% | +114.11% | +113.98% | +112.18% | +107.52% | +109.51% | +109.25% | +113.85% | +111.18% |
| Equity multiplier (× assets / equity) | -17642.54% | -1190.47% | -797.63% | -1086.37% | -2166.53% | -1137.71% | -1155.79% | -1119.95% | -1149.47% |
Activity & efficiency
Turnover ratios and days-outstanding — how efficiently the business converts assets and working capital into sales and cash.
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover | |||||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Fixed-asset turnover | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.18 | 2.11 | 2.06 | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory turnover | 1.71 | 1.61 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.50 | — | — | — | — |
| Receivables turnover | 34.56 | 30.65 | 30.67 | 33.69 | 32.35 | — | — | — | — |
| Payables turnover | 1.34 | 1.20 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.21 | — | — | — | — |
| Days outstanding | |||||||||
| Days sales outstanding (DSO) | 10.56 | 11.91 | 11.90 | 10.83 | 11.28 | — | — | — | — |
| Days inventory outstanding (DIO) | 213.32 | 226.39 | 220.61 | 228.11 | 243.03 | — | — | — | — |
| Days payables outstanding (DPO) | 271.70 | 305.43 | 288.48 | 292.07 | 301.22 | — | — | — | — |
| Cash conversion cycle | -47.82 | -67.14 | -55.98 | -53.13 | -46.91 | — | — | — | — |
Cash flow quality
How well reported earnings translate into operating and free cash flow, plus reinvestment intensity.
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating CF / Net income | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.09 | 1.24 | 1.16 | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| FCF / Net income | 1.28 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| FCF margin | +20.74% | +17.94% | +12.82% | +12.13% | +8.96% | +11.07% | +11.16% | +11.61% | +11.29% |
| OCF margin | +24.07% | +21.85% | +19.19% | +18.25% | +15.53% | +18.07% | +17.17% | +17.94% | +18.00% |
| CapEx / Revenue | +3.32% | +3.91% | +6.36% | +6.12% | +6.57% | +6.27% | +6.18% | +6.37% | +6.43% |
| CapEx / D&A | 1.35 | 1.57 | 2.46 | 2.22 | 2.29 | — | — | — | — |
| Stock-based comp / Revenue | +0.19% | +0.18% | +0.17% | +0.17% | +0.20% | — | — | — | — |
Per-share & shareholder yield
EPS, book value, sales, cash flow and dividends per share — plus payout / retention.
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · diluted | 2.18 | 2.34 | 2.69 | 2.71 | 2.97 | 3.26 | 3.62 | 4.00 | 4.16 |
| EPS · basic | 2.09 | 2.25 | 2.59 | 2.73 | 2.98 | 3.23 | 3.62 | 3.93 | 4.07 |
| Book value / share | -0.07 | -1.14 | -2.00 | -1.63 | -0.89 | -1.80 | -1.88 | -1.97 | -2.02 |
| Tangible BV / share | -0.95 | -2.15 | -3.08 | -2.82 | -2.08 | -1.80 | -1.88 | -1.97 | -2.02 |
| Sales / share | 13.40 | 15.53 | 18.15 | 19.92 | 20.78 | 22.45 | 23.77 | 25.14 | 25.88 |
| Operating CF / share | 3.23 | 3.39 | 3.48 | 3.64 | 3.23 | 4.06 | 4.08 | 4.51 | 4.66 |
| Free cash flow / share | 2.78 | 2.79 | 2.33 | 2.42 | 1.86 | 2.49 | 2.65 | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| Dividends / share | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Payout ratio | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Retention ratio | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% | +100.00% |
Growth
Year-over-year change for headline P&L lines, plus through-cycle CAGR
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E | 8y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top-line | ||||||||||
| Revenue · YoY | — | +8.12% | +9.73% | +5.67% | +6.42% | +7.15% | +6.28% | +6.21% | +2.30% | +6.47% |
| Gross profit · YoY | — | +5.15% | +9.80% | +5.55% | +7.24% | +7.58% | +4.65% | +7.06% | +2.07% | +6.11% |
| Profit | ||||||||||
| Operating income · YoY | — | +1.10% | +7.65% | +1.96% | +6.44% | +8.65% | +5.63% | +4.47% | +7.01% | +5.34% |
| EBITDA · YoY | — | +1.83% | +9.09% | +3.15% | +6.89% | +9.93% | +3.78% | +6.43% | +3.64% | +5.56% |
| Net income · YoY | — | +0.37% | +8.01% | +1.71% | +6.35% | +9.69% | +7.89% | +3.85% | +1.79% | +4.91% |
| Operating | ||||||||||
| EBIT · YoY | — | +1.01% | +8.46% | +1.91% | +6.35% | +10.54% | +5.20% | +6.87% | -0.19% | +4.96% |
| R&D · YoY | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per-share | ||||||||||
| EPS · diluted · YoY | — | +7.34% | +14.96% | +0.74% | +9.59% | +9.84% | +10.96% | +10.55% | +3.96% | +8.41% |
| EPS · basic · YoY | — | +7.53% | +14.96% | +5.54% | +9.16% | +8.23% | +12.11% | +8.72% | +3.57% | +8.68% |
Credit & leverage
Balance-sheet health + interest coverage + liquidity. Coverage ratios use period-end debt and trailing interest expense.
ActualEstimate
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leverage | |||||||||
| Total debt | $5.87B | $6.55B | $7.84B | $7.92B | $8.49B | $9.4B | $9.58B | $10.34B | $10.63B |
| Net debt | $5.5B | $6.44B | $7.56B | $7.79B | $8.3B | $9.17B | $9.34B | $10.08B | $10.35B |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.69 | 1.94 | 2.09 | 2.09 | 2.08 | 2.09 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 2.06 |
| Debt / equity | -88.32 | -6.17 | -4.51 | -5.78 | -11.12 | -6.15 | -5.97 | -6.13 | -6.17 |
| Debt / assets | +50.06% | +51.83% | +56.52% | +53.18% | +51.34% | +54.04% | +51.68% | +54.76% | +53.71% |
| Equity / assets | -0.57% | -8.40% | -12.54% | -9.20% | -4.62% | -8.79% | -8.65% | -8.93% | -8.70% |
| Coverage | |||||||||
| EBITDA / interest expense | 22.48 | 21.01 | 17.93 | 16.76 | 16.96 | 17.56 | 17.33 | 16.92 | 17.73 |
| Operating income / interest | 20.24 | 18.78 | 15.81 | 14.61 | 14.72 | 15.07 | 15.13 | 14.50 | 15.69 |
| Interest expense | $144.77M | $157.72M | $201.67M | $222.55M | $235.06M | $249.51M | $262.46M | $286.12M | $282.98M |
| Liquidity | |||||||||
| Current ratio | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.71 | 0.77 | — | — | — | — |
| Quick ratio | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | — | — | — |
| Cash ratio | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | — | — | — |
| Working capital | -$1.37B | -$2.02B | -$2.1B | -$2.44B | -$2.03B | — | — | — | — |
| Working capital / revenue | -10.28% | -13.99% | -13.30% | -14.62% | -11.42% | — | — | — | — |
Methodology. ROE / ROA / ROC use period-end balance-sheet denominators (no average-of- period smoothing). ROIC = Operating Income × (1 − inferred effective tax rate) over invested capital, with the effective tax inferred from net-to-operating income when both are positive and a 25% default otherwise. Net debt / EBITDA, debt ratios, and interest-coverage ratios are calculated point-in-time at each fiscal year-end. TTM = trailing 4 quarters (income / cash flow summed, balance sheet = most-recent quarterly snapshot). Through-cycle CAGR in the Growth panel uses the geometric mean of first-to-last period growth across the window (positive values only).