Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$23.13
-44.33% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$41.54
Mkt cap $2.52B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$44.33
+6.72% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
4 / 4
4 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
HUBG · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
HUBG · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justified P/E | multiple | $3.34 | $2.84 – $3.84 | -91.96% | 31.6% | Fair P/E 2.0 (payout 29%, kₑ 10.1%, g -4.1%) | med |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $34.00 | $29.92 – $38.08 | -18.15% | 63.2% | EPS 1.70 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $14.26 | $12.12 – $16.39 | -65.68% | 2.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $8.50 | $7.23 – $9.77 | -79.54% | 2.6% | PE = g (-4.1) | low |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.26)β | × 1.26 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 10.10% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.84% |
| Effective tax ratet | 22.9% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.19% |
| Equity weight$1.7B | 76.9% |
| Debt weight$0.5B | 23.1% |
| WACC | 8.27% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | -3.04% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | -15.44% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 3.08% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 11.50% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 4.36% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | -4.10% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $44.33
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.