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Arphra AIPlain-English read on McDonald's Corporation’s valuationAI Issuer Brief
Arphra AILoading cached brief…
Fair value
Football field →Weighted blend
$1,600.49
+489.15% vs spot
Recommendation
Strong Buy
15 of 17 methods
Method spread
2bull12bear
±5% threshold
Analyst PT consensus: $347.33 (+27.85%)
Candlestick · 1Y
Open in chart workstation →MCD
278.61-4.41%H 341.75L 271.85MA50 287.10MA200 305.29Avg vol 3.5M
Price change · trailing returns
Live| 1D | 5D | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.58% | -1.93% | -3.76% | -11.75% | -13.30% | -11.11% | -6.80% | -6.03% | +16.43% | +127.44% | +100682.79% |
Insider · 30d
History →Bought
$0
0 txns
Sold
$21.72M
10 txns
Net flow
−$21.72M
Aftermarket
LiveLast trade
$271.82
Bid
$271.60
80 sh
Ask
$274.30
3 sh
Spread
$2.700
Recent quarters
All financials →| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 Dec 2025 | $7.01B | $2.16B | $3.03 |
| Q3 Sep 2025 | $7.08B | $2.28B | $3.18 |
| Q2 Jun 2025 | $6.84B | $2.25B | $3.14 |
| Q1 Mar 2025 | $5.96B | $1.87B | $2.60 |
| Q4 Dec 2024 | $6.39B | $2.02B | $2.80 |
| Q3 Sep 2024 | $6.87B | $2.26B | $3.13 |
Sector & industry today
LiveSectors
- Real Estate+1.01%
- Consumer Cyclical+0.94%
- Energy+0.84%
- Consumer Defensive+0.82%
- Financial Services+0.23%
- Basic Materials-0.11%
- Healthcare-0.18%
- Communication Services-0.18%
- Industrials-0.47%
- Technology-0.85%
- Utilities-1.03%
Top industries (issuer's industry highlighted)
- Restaurants-0.17%
- Software - Services+9.60%
- Broadcasting+8.34%
- Travel Services+7.87%
- Computer Hardware+4.56%
- Oil & Gas Energy-3.54%
- Biotechnology+3.28%
- Electrical Equipment & Parts-3.26%
- Semiconductors-2.12%
- Communication Equipment+2.06%
- REIT - Healthcare Facilities+2.01%
- Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic+1.99%
Analyst view
DB · price_targets + analyst_gradesConsensus target
$347.33
+27.85% upside
Low
$305.00
Median
$347.50
High
$385.00
Recent actions
0 ↑0 ↓8 hold
- Apr 01, 2026
- Mar 01, 2026
- Feb 01, 2026
- Jan 01, 2026
- Dec 01, 2025
News
DB · news_items- McDonald's at 52-Week Low: Buy, Sell or Hold?247wallst.com·Jun 23, 2026
- McDonald's Corp (MCD) Shares Fall 3.0% -- What GF Score of 74 Tells Investorsgurufocus.com·Jun 22, 2026
- What's Wrong With McDonald's Stock?fool.com·Jun 22, 2026
- McDonald's (Mc)Value Finally Reaches Buy Territory (Rating Upgrade)seekingalpha.com·Jun 18, 2026
- McDonald's Blends Value With Brand Activations: Is It Paying Off?zacks.com·Jun 18, 2026
- McDonald's: Modest P/E, Healthy Dividend, And Value Meals Driving Comps Growthseekingalpha.com·Jun 17, 2026
- McDonald's (MCD) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Knowzacks.com·Jun 17, 2026
- Is It Worth Investing in McDonald's (MCD) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?zacks.com·Jun 15, 2026
Recent analyst activity
DB- Jun 23, 2026GradeSector Perform → Sector PerformRBC Capital on McDonald's (MCD): 'We're intrigued by MCD as a potential outsized beneficiary of falling gas prices'RBC Capital
- Jun 22, 2026GradeMarket Perform → Market PerformBernstein SocGen on McDonald's (MCD): 'Turning the corner?'Bernstein
- Jun 12, 2026GradeHold → HoldTD Cowen 'Summarizing Recent Expert Conversations' on McDonald's (MCD)Cowen & Co.
Financial scores
DBJun 19, 2026Altman Z
4.76
Safe
≥ 3.0 safe · 1.81–3.0 grey · < 1.81 distress
Piotroski F
5/9
Average
≥ 7 strong · 4–6 average · < 4 weak
Peers
- SBUXStarbucks Corporation$105.90$120.69B
- YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$158.36$43.78B
- CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$32.98$42.95B
- QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc.$80.03$27.73B
- DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$194.76$22.31B
- YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$48.80$17.14B
- DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$337.77$11.23B
- BROSDutch Bros Inc.$56.95$7.24B
Total assets
$59.52B
Total debt
$54.81B
Cash & equiv
$774M
Operating CF
$10.55B
Free cash flow
$7.19B
Buybacks
-$2.06B
Recent insiders
All →| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Erlinger Joseph M. officer: President, McDonald's USA | Sell | 333 | $100.81K | Apr 23, 2026 |
Erlinger Joseph M. officer: President, McDonald's USA | Sell | 2,626 | $806.18K | Apr 10, 2026 |
Erlinger Joseph M. officer: President, McDonald's USA | Sell | 333 | $104.39K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Baroni Dario officer: President, IDL | Sell | 600 | $194.26K | Mar 18, 2026 |
Erlinger Joseph M. officer: President, McDonald's USA | Sell | 2,626 | $862.22K | Mar 10, 2026 |
Banner Jonathan officer: EVP - Chief Impact Officer | Sell | 1,601 | $533.69K | Feb 23, 2026 |
Income statement · annual
5y| Period | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EPS | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $26.89B | $12.39B | $8.56B | $11.95 | +31.85% |
| FY 2024 | $25.92B | $11.71B | $8.22B | $11.39 | +31.72% |
| FY 2023 | $25.5B | $11.65B | $8.47B | $11.56 | +33.22% |
| FY 2022 | $23.18B | $9.37B | $6.18B | $8.33 | +26.65% |
| FY 2021 | $23.22B | $10.36B | $7.55B | $10.04 | +32.49% |